Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Tesla, TSMC and Broadcom. Technicals, momentum, valuation and earnings risk in one score.
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No price target and no personal advice. The tracker ranks technical setup, RSI, trend, distance from highs, volume, earnings momentum and PEG. Use it as a watchlist filter, not as a buy order.
Green means technically interesting or fundamentally healthy. Orange means wait for confirmation. Red usually means extended, weak trend, overbought or deteriorating fundamentals.
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Technical condition shows how stretched the move is; fundamentals show whether earnings growth still supports the valuation. A strong trend becomes fragile when expectations start to fall.
Not today’s earnings, but the direction of expectations.
Trigger: forward earnings rolling over is a catalyst, not a condition.
Forward P/E divided by expected three-year earnings growth.
Interpretation: high multiples are acceptable as long as earnings growth keeps up.
Fundamentals keep narratives honest. Big bubbles rarely break only because valuations are high; they break when the market realizes expected earnings growth is no longer achievable. Technicals confirm, macro accelerates, but earnings ultimately decide whether the trend is durable.
Entry moments: the setup is strongest when several layers are green or favorably neutral at the same time: price near the 50d or 200d, RSI around 35-55, green setup score, no immediate earnings risk, and healthy or improving fundamentals. For quality companies, a retest of the 50d is often a first entry; a move toward the 200d is more interesting but needs more fundamental checks.
Accumulation: accumulating means building gradually, not buying a full position at once. It fits a stock you want to own or already own when signals are still mixed: orange setup score, neutral RSI, price between the 50d and 200d, or strong fundamentals without full technical confirmation. Practically: small tranche now, another on a retest, and only size up after confirmation above the 200d or a clear golden cross.
Exit moments: selling usually means trimming or taking profit, not automatically selling everything. A stronger exit signal appears when RSI above 70 combines with price near the 3m high, weak volume after a rise, 50d below 200d, or deteriorating earnings/PEG. A clear risk rule: price below 200d and red fundamentals means do not add; reassess the position.